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Trade Winds Move
the Market –
October 14, 2019

The Week on Wall Street

Stock prices pushed higher last week, as investors remained hyper-focused on any new developments with the U.S. trade negotiations with China.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average picked up 0.91%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 rose 0.62%. The Nasdaq Composite index gained 0.93% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, added 2.28%.1https://www.wsj.com/market-data ,2https://www.wsj.com/market-data,3https://quotes.wsj.com/index/XX/990300/historical-prices

Trade Winds

For nearly two years, investors’ moods have seemed to swing with each twist in the ongoing trade saga between the U.S. and China. Last week was no different.

On Tuesday, stock prices fell sharply on concerns that U.S.-China trade tensions had escalated. The White House announced the addition of 28 new Chinese companies to its list of firms that are banned from doing business in the U.S. Later in the day, White House officials confirmed that they had implemented travel bans on selected Chinese officials.4https://www.yahoo.com/news/1-u-imposes-visa-restrictions-195007427.html ,5https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-bans-travel-chinese-officials-185734111.html

But prices bounced back Thursday and surged higher Friday on White House reports that suggested the trade talks between the two countries were “going really well.” Near the close Friday, the White House confirmed that the U.S. has come to a “very substantial phase one deal” with China.6https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/10/trump-says-china-trade-talks-are-going-very-well.html?&qsearchterm=really%20well%20trump,7https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/11/trump-says-us-has-come-to-a-substantial-phase-one-deal-with-china.html

Quarterly Earnings

Investors may start to get a better glimpse into third-quarter earnings this week, as more than 150 companies are expected to report on their operations.8https://www.zacks.com/earnings/earnings-calendar

As “earnings season” get underway, some attention may shift from the U.S.-China trade negotiations and toward company reports.

What’s Next

Some U.S. financial markets will be open, and some will be closed, on Monday, October 14, in observance of the federal holiday Columbus Day. The U.S. bonds markets and most banks will be closed. But the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ will be open for regular hours.

Robert Roman
CEO, Managing Director
MGO | Wealth Advisors

THE WEEK AHEAD:

KEY ECONOMIC DATA

Wednesday: September Retail Sales are reported before the markets open.
Thursday: Housing Starts for September are released. A “start” is defined as the beginning of excavation of the foundation for the building. Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey. The survey can provide insights into the manufacturing sector.

Source: Econoday, October 11, 2019
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS

Tuesday: Netflix (NFLX), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), The Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
Wednesday: Abbott Laboratories (ABT), United Rentals (URI), Winnebago Industries (WGO)
Thursday: Morgan Stanley (MS), PayPal Holdings (PYPL), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)
Friday: Coca-Cola (KO), Schlumberger Limited (SLB), American Express (AXP)

Source: Zacks, October 11, 2019
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Any investment should be consistent with your objectives, time frame and risk tolerance. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

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“Employ thy time well, if thou meanest to get leisure.”

– Benjamin Franklin

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Do a Paycheck Checkup

Every year, the IRS recommends doing what they call a “Paycheck Checkup.” This includes checking your withholding status to make sure enough taxes are being taken out of your paycheck. You should do a Paycheck Checkup in the beginning of the year, but it can be done in any season.

Check your withholding status if you have:

  • Gotten married or divorced
  • Had or adopted a child
  • Bought a house
  • Retired
  • Filed for bankruptcy
  • Got a new job or lost a job

The IRS also recommends checking on any streams of taxable income that are not subject to withholding, such as interest, dividends, capital gains, self-employment income, or IRA distributions. You should also check your withholding if you’ve experienced changes to your medical expenses, taxes, charitable gifts, education credits, dependent care expenses, and more. These life changes might affect your deductions or tax credits. These Paycheck Checkups will help make sure you’re in a good place when it’s time to file taxes.

* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.

Tip adapted from IRS.gov9https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/all-taxpayers-should-check-their-withholding-asap

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The Towel Drill Can Help with Longer Drives

Many golfers already know that they key to hitting long, straight drives is to strike the ball on your upswing. But for many, this is easier said than done. Most of the clubs in your bag require you to hit down on the ball, but not your driver. Too often, we hit the ball as the club is going down, which results in shorter, pop-up drives.

This towel drill is surprisingly simple, but can work, for many golfers. Next time you tee up at the driving range or during your practice shots, place a rolled-up towel a few inches in front of the ball. The obstacle will help you keep your swing up to avoid hitting the towel. When you hit higher up on the ball, you’ll notice more distance and better flight path. Increasing where you hit the ball, by even a few degrees, improves your angle of attack.

Tip adapted from Golf Tips Magazine10https://www.golftipsmag.com/instruction/driving/try-towel-drill-for-longer-drives/

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What’s the Spoonful on Artificial Sweeteners?

    Artificial sweeteners are chemical compounds designed to taste like sugar, and many people choose them because they are sweeter and have little to no calories. But the debate on these sugar substitutes isn’t so sweet. Some health professionals claim that they can increase a person’s risk of cancer, while others say they are completely safe and can aid in weight loss. So, what’s the truth?

    There’s no answer to whether these sweeteners are “good” or “bad” because, ultimately, it depends on your personal health goals and concerns. Some important notes, though, are:

    • More than 30 studies have found no links between artificial sweeteners and cancer
    • Artificial sweeteners can be a smart choice for people with diabetes because they don’t spike your blood sugar
    • Artificial sweeteners are less likely to cause tooth decay than natural sugar
    • Artificial sweeteners may actually increase appetite
    • Artificial sweeteners can cause digestive issues in some people

    Tip adapted from Healthline11https://www.healthline.com/nutrition/artificial-sweeteners-good-or-bad#section7

    green_banner

    How to Fight the Palm Oil Problem

    Palm oil is in countless household items, from margarine and prepared foods to beauty products and cleaners. It’s a cheap, attainable oil and is used for both industrial and residential necessities. But there’s a dark side to this worldwide oil.

    Palm oil plantations are one of the biggest contributors to deforestation, which leads to the loss of natural habitats, animals, and trees that have stood for centuries. But how can we give up palm oil if it’s in nearly everything? For right now, we can’t, so the next best thing is to only buy products made with Certified Sustainable Palm Oil (CSPO). The Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil has developed a set of environmental and social criteria that help minimize the negative impact of palm oil cultivation on the environment and communities in palm oil-producing regions.

    Look for the CSPO designation next time you are shopping for products that contain palm oil, which might help encourage the industry to shift toward more-sustainable production.

    Tip adapted from Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil12https://www.rspo.org/about

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    The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ. The DJIA was invented by Charles Dow back in 1896.

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    The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) that serves as a benchmark of the performance in major international equity markets as represented by 21 major MSCI indices from Europe, Australia and Southeast Asia.

    The S&P U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index contains U.S.- and foreign-issued investment-grade corporate bonds denominated in U.S. dollars.

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