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Trade News Moves the Market – May 20, 2019

The Week on Wall Street

Stocks fell sharply at the start of last week over trade tensions, then recovered with help from strong earnings and indications that U.S.-China trade talks would continue. Even so, the major indices had a down week. The S&P 500 lost 0.76%, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.27%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.69%.

In contrast, the MSCI EAFE benchmark for international stocks rose 0.19%.1https://www.wsj.com/market-data,2https://quotes.wsj.com/index/XX/990300/historical-prices

The Latest Trade Developments

A broad selloff occurred Monday after China announced it would respond to increased U.S. tariffs by boosting its own import taxes on $60 billion of U.S. products. Friday morning, the Street breathed a sigh of relief as the Trump administration decided to delay 25% tariffs planned for imported cars and car parts; they had been slated to take effect on May 18. Just hours later, President Trump announced an end to U.S. tariffs on metals coming from Canada and Mexico.

At midweek, Secretary of the Treasury Steven Mnuchin told reporters that he expected the U.S. to resume trade negotiations with China in “the near future.”3https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-china/tough-talk-from-china-leaves-trade-talks-with-u-s-in-limbo-idUSKCN1SN207,4https://www.marketwatch.com/story/mnuchin-says-he-expects-to-go-to-beijing-to-continue-trade-talks-in-the-near-future-2019-05-15,5https://www.npr.org/2019/05/17/724357441/u-s-to-lift-tariffs-on-canadas-and-mexico-s-steel-and-aluminum

Earnings Season Winds Down

The first-quarter earnings scorecard is nearly complete, as more than 90% of S&P 500 companies have reported actual Q1 results.

Stock market analytics firm FactSet notes that 76% of these firms have beaten consensus earnings-per-share estimates. Overall earnings for S&P 500 components have surpassed expectations by 5.4%. Both these percentages are above 5-year averages.6https://insight.factset.com/market-punished-sp-500-companies-reporting-negative-eps-surprises-in-q1

Final Thought

The market is quite sensitive to trade developments at the moment, and it is unclear whether this will be a short-term trend or a long-term influence on prices. While the U.S. prepares its next moves, China also is preparing its response to any new U.S. tariffs, which could include manipulating its currency.

Robert Roman
CEO, Managing Director
MGO | Wealth Advisors

THE WEEK AHEAD:

KEY ECONOMIC DATA

Tuesday: The April existing home sales report from the National Association of Realtors.

Wednesday: Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s May policy meeting.

Thursday: April new home sales figures from the Census Bureau.

Source: Econoday / MarketWatch Calendar, May 17, 2019

The Econoday and MarketWatch economic calendars list upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS

Tuesday: AutoZone (AZO), Home Depot (HD), Kohl’s (KSS), Nordstrom (JWN)

Wednesday: Analog Devices (ADI), Lowe’s (LOW), Target (TGT)

Thursday: Best Buy (BBY), Intuit (INTU), TD Bank (TD)

Friday: Foot Locker (FL)

Source: Morningstar.com, May 17, 2019

Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Any investment should be consistent with your objectives, time frame and risk tolerance. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.


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“Don’t spend time beating on a wall, hoping to transform it into a door.”
― Coco Chanel

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Like, Hashtag, and Follow Tax Tips on Social Media

Social media is a great way to get tax tips and helpful news from the IRS. The agency uses a variety of social media platforms to share tips and information with taxpayers:

  • YouTube: Get video tax tips in English, Spanish, and American Sign Language.
  • Instagram: Follow the official IRS Instagram account @IRSNews for the latest tax scam information to help keep your personal data secure.
  • Facebook: The IRS posts useful news and information for taxpayers and tax return preparers.
  • Twitter: Follow @IRSnews for tax-related announcements and tips. @IRStaxpros tweets news and guidance for tax professionals. Tweets from @IRSenEspanol have the latest tax information in Spanish. @IRSTaxSecurity tweets tax scam alerts.
  • LinkedIn: The IRS shares agency updates and job opportunities.

You can also access IRS information and your tax status with the IRS app, IRS2Go. Use the app to check your refund status, pay taxes, and find free tax help.

* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.

Tip adapted from IRS.gov7https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/taxpayers-can-now-instantly-get-tax-info-on-instagram

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Don’t Let Your Lie Angles Lie to You

If you haven’t checked the lie angle on your clubs, your golf game may be suffering. The lie angle is the angle of the shaft relative to the floor, when the bottom of the club is flat on the ground.

If you’re a taller player with an upright swing, a club with a steeper angle is for you. A flatter or lower angle is always a great choice for players who are shorter or who have problems with hooking the ball. It’s important to remember that normal use can cause the lie angle of a club to change, which will also make your swings less dependable.

One way to check is by looking at where on the ball you’re hitting. If you notice you’re hitting the ball close to the toe, your lie angle is probably too flat. If you strike closer to the heel, the angle might be too steep, and your club, too upright.

Adjusting the lie angle on a club is something a club fitter or pro shop can handle for you.

Tip adapted from Golf Tips Magazine8https://www.golftipsmag.com/instruction/quick-tips/posture-perfection/

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Sweet Tips to Reduce Sugar Intake

    Consuming excess sugar can pose all sorts of health problems, including weight gain, insulin resistance, diabetes, inflammation – the list goes on and on. If you’re eating a balanced diet, then food items with added sugar should be consumed sparingly because if you’re eating an adequate, well-balanced diet, you should be getting enough carbohydrates (including sugar) from your daily intake. If you’d like to reduce your sugar intake, here are some tips:

    1. Skip low-fat options: Low-fat snacks and yogurt products may be lower in fat, but they might also be higher in added sugar. If this is the case, choose full-fat versions with lower sugar, instead. You might feel fuller longer, too.
    2. Eat whole foods: Eating a diet that is mostly fruits, vegetable, meats, nuts, and grains in their most natural state with minimal processing will ensure that you’re getting less added sugar and more of the good stuff – like the vitamins, minerals, and a better balance of fat, carbohydrates, and protein.
    3. Saucy, but sweet: Condiments like ketchup, barbecue sauce, hoisin, and sweet chili sauces have added sugar. Herbs, spices, mustard, mayonnaise, and vinegar-based dressings with olive or avocado oil are great replacements.

    Tip adapted from Healthline9https://www.healthline.com/nutrition/14-ways-to-eat-less-sugar

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    Save Paper, Print Less, Scan, and Store More

    It’s no surprise: it’s a digital world. But are you truly “digital”? It is a definitely a paradigm shift to be “paperless,” but it’s a reality for many and a wonderful possibility for the rest. Instead of supplying paper, we need trees to produce oxygen and shade, provide habitats for animals, and reduce greenhouse gases. So, why not go digital using some of these tips?

    • Scan when you can. Most printers have a scanning bed, which makes it easy to scan and keep a digital file.
    • The cloud. Cloud storage apps like Dropbox, iCloud, and Google Drive will hold your data for you. It’s not really a cloud; it just means it’s stored over the internet in logical pools spanning multiple servers, possibly in multiple locations.
    • Storage devices. Thumb drives and external hard drives will store documents, images, photos, and videos, and you have something tangible (not a “cloud”) to keep.
    • Paper and fonts. When you do need to print, consider this: choosing a font like Century Gothic uses less ink. Also, check your paper weight. You may be able to use thinner paper, which can help save money and trees.

    Tip adapted from Laserfiche10https://www.laserfiche.com/ecmblog/9-sneaky-ways-to-get-employees-to-print-less/

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    Diversification does not guarantee profit nor is it guaranteed to protect assets.

    International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability and may not be suitable for all investors.

    The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ. The DJIA was invented by Charles Dow back in 1896.

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    The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) that serves as a benchmark of the performance in major international equity markets as represented by 21 major MSCI indices from Europe, Australia and Southeast Asia.

    The S&P U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index contains U.S.- and foreign-issued investment-grade corporate bonds denominated in U.S. dollars.

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    The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are the leading measures of U.S. residential real estate prices, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate. The index is made up of measures of real estate prices in 20 cities and weighted to produce the index.

    The 10-year Treasury Note represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the U.S. Government is seen as a risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for the long-term bond market.

    Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance.

    Past performance does not guarantee future results.

    You cannot invest directly in an index.

    Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.

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