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Looking Beyond Politics – December 4, 2017

Markets went for a wild ride last week—especially on Friday. In fact, on December 1, the S&P 500 had its largest fluctuations since the day after the 2016 presidential election.1https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/24/us-stocks-black-friday-retail-amazon-holidays.html https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/01/us-stock-futures-data-opec-tax-on-the-agenda.html

Nonetheless, two of the major domestic markets hit new record highs on Thursday and ended the week with sizable gains. The S&P 500 added 1.53% and the Dow gained 2.86%.2http://performance.morningstar.com/Performance/index-c/performance-return.action?t=%21DJI&region=usa&culture=en-US http://performance.morningstar.com/Performance/index-c/performance-return.action?t=SPX&region=usa&culture=en-US Meanwhile, the NASDAQ lost 0.60% and international stocks in the MSCI EAFE gave back 0.95%.3http://performance.morningstar.com/Performance/index-c/performance-return.action?t=@CCO https://www.msci.com/end-of-day-data-search

What drove markets last week?

Politics played a large role in market performance last week with big developments on tax reform and the Russia investigation.4https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/01/us-stock-futures-data-opec-tax-on-the-agenda.html

Tax Reform

On Thursday, news that the Senate bill was more likely to pass contributed to the Dow and S&P 500 closing at record highs.5https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/30/us-stocks-dow-record-high-tax-reform-senate.html Early Saturday morning, the Senate did end up voting in favor of the proposal.6http://www.cnn.com/2017/12/01/politics/senate-tax-bill-vote-uncertainty/index.html

Russia Investigation

On Friday, stocks dropped on news that former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn pleaded guilty to charges of lying to the FBI.7https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-30/asian-stocks-set-to-rebound-after-u-s-advance-markets-wrap

While politics grabbed many of the headlines, we also received economic updates that are worth noting:

Gross Domestic Product

We received the 2nd GDP reading for July – October, and the report came back higher than expected. During the 3rd quarter, the economy grew at 3.3%, which is its quickest pace in 3 years.8http://www.ftportfolios.com/Commentary/EconomicResearch/2017/11/29/real-gdp-revised-up-to-a-3.3percent-annual-growth-rate-in-q3

Housing Sales

New home sales beat expectations in the most recent report and increased 18.7% year over year. The sales were higher than they’ve been in a decade.9http://www.ftportfolios.com/Commentary/EconomicResearch/2017/11/27/new-single-family-home-sales-increased-6.2percent-in-october

Consumer Spending

Americans spent and earned more money in October, according to the data we received last week.10http://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/consumer-spending-rose-solid-03-percent-october-51483354

What should you focus on?

Political developments are affecting daily market performance, so we understand the interest they hold. While you may be following these reports, we also want to ensure you recognize the economic data coming forward, too.

We cannot predict what will happen with tax reform or the Russia investigation. However, we can continue to monitor them while focusing on what’s really happening in the economy beyond the headlines. If you ever have questions about how current events may affect your financial life, please contact us any time.

Robert Roman
CEO, Managing Director
MGO | Wealth Advisors

ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

Monday: Factory Orders
Tuesday: ISM Non-Mfg Index
Wednesday: ADP Employment Report
Thursday: Jobless Claims
Friday: Consumer Sentiment


Notes: All index returns exclude reinvested dividends, and the 5-year and 10-year returns are annualized. Sources: Yahoo! Finance, S&P Dow Jones Indices and Treasury.gov. International performance is represented by the MSCI EAFE Index. Corporate bond performance is represented by the SPUSCIG. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.
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“Nothing in life is to be feared, it is only to be understood. Now is the time to understand more, so that we may fear less.” ― Marie Curie

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Mustard-Crusted Mini Meatloaves

Serves 4
Ingredients:

  • 1 ¼ pound ground meat, beef or dark-meat turkey
    1 small zucchini, grated
    ⅓ cup seasoned bread crumbs
    Kosher salt
    Black pepper, freshly ground
    2 tablespoons Dijon mustard
    3 small Gala or Empire apples, cored and sliced into 8 pieces
    1 teaspoon fresh rosemary, chopped
    ¼ teaspoon cayenne pepper, ground
    1 tablespoon extra-virgin olive oil
    chopped chives

Directions:

Meatloaf

  1. Mix ground meat, zucchini, bread crumbs, and ½ teaspoon each salt and pepper in a large bowl.
  2. Divvy up meat into 4 mini meatloaves and place on baking sheet lined with foil.
  3. Brush each loaf with Dijon mustard.

Apples

  1. Toss apple wedges with rosemary, cayenne, olive oil, and a pinch of salt until coated.
  2. Place them around the meatloaves on the baking sheet, and bake at 425ºF until thoroughly cooked, either for 30 minutes or until meatloaf heats to 165ºF.

Serve

  1. Garnish meatloaf and apples with chopped chives, and serve.

Recipe adapted from Good Housekeeping11http://www.goodhousekeeping.com/food-recipes/a41235/mustard-crusted-mini-meatloaves-with-roasted-apples-recipe/

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Report Income From Hobbies

Many people do side hobbies for fun that also happen to bring in extra income. Whenever taxpayers make money from their hobbies, they must report the income to the IRS. Here are some tips to help you correctly claim your income and expenses:

  1. Discern between a hobby or business: The IRS taxes income differently depending on whether it’s a true hobby or for-profit business. You can answer the IRS checklist for identifying which type of income you have to help guide you.
  2. Deduct expenses: Your hobby probably has ordinary and necessary expenses that you must spend in order to do it, such as buying yarn to knit scarves. You can deduct any expenses that fall within these categories.
  3. Follow deduction limits: You can only deduct approvable expenses up to the amount you brought in for income.

Other details may apply, and you can find more information on the IRS website.

* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax advisor.

Tip adapted from IRS.gov12https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/five-things-to-remember-about-hobby-income-and-expenses

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Remove Choppiness in Your Swing

A good swing requires the ability to focus and hit with precision and power. As you swing, it’s important to remove any choppiness. To get it right, imagine driving a spike into a log. Here’s how to practice:

  • Envision chopping wood: Imagine a log in front of you. Now, pretend to chop the wood, which most likely will cause you to swing at an abrupt angle. This is the angle that causes choppiness in your swing.
  • Pretend to drive a spike into the log instead: Now, rather than chop wood, pretend you’re driving a spike into the log. When you swing, imagine you need to hit level with the spike’s head.

Hitting head on, instead of at an angle, will help dial in your swing. If you can act like you are driving a spike, you can gain control in your swing.

Tip adapted from PGA13http://www.pga.com/golf-instruction/golf-tip-day/fundamentals/dont-chop-wood-drive-spike

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Understand Sinusitis

Sinusitis causes your hollow sinus cavities to become infected or swell, most commonly around your eyes and cheeks. The result can be a painful, mucous-ridden sickness.

What causes sinusitis?

A variety of triggers can cause sinusitis, such as:

  • Existing cold or viral infections
  • Atmospheric conditions like air pollution and smog
  • Allergens that become airborne

What symptoms occur?

Infected sinus cavities can develop mucus and trap air, creating a painful sinus headache in places like your forehead, eyes, neck, and ears. You also can develop additional symptoms including:

  • Mucus that is thick and green or yellow in color
  • Postnasal drip with a bad taste
  • Sore throat and a cough

Further, if you have asthma, sinusitis can make controlling your asthma more difficult. Be sure to consult your doctor if you think you may be developing sinusitis.

Tips adapted from WebMD14https://www.webmd.com/asthma/guide/sinusitis-and-asthma#1-2

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Simple Ways to Go Green During the Holidays

The holiday season involves lots of shopping and traveling. However, small tweaks to how you celebrate the season can have real effects on the environment. Here are simple ways you can go green this holiday season.

  1. Reuse wrapping paper: The holidays create around 4 million tons of wrapping paper and shopping bag waste. You can help decrease this trash by reusing wrapping paper from previous gifts. Doing so will also eliminate the need for new resources such as trees for the paper and ink for the color.
  2. Decorate with natural items: You can create a nice ambiance without buying new decorations. Natural items gathered from your yard, like pine cones and ivy, can set a holiday mood while adding a creative touch.
  3. Eat more veggies at holiday dinners: Meat-based diets have higher carbon footprints. You can decrease how much you contribute by limiting the amount of meat in your holiday meals (and eat healthier in the process).

Tip adapted from The Nature Conservancy15https://support.nature.org/site/Advocacy?cmd=display&page=UserAction&id=198

 

 

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Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values.

Diversification does not guarantee profit nor is it guaranteed to protect assets.

International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability and may not be suitable for all investors.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ. The DJIA was invented by Charles Dow back in 1896.

The Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of stocks of technology companies and growth companies.

The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) that serves as a benchmark of the performance in major international equity markets as represented by 21 major MSCI indices from Europe, Australia and Southeast Asia.

The S&P U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index contains U.S.- and foreign-issued investment-grade corporate bonds denominated in U.S. dollars.

The SPUSCIG launched on April 09, 2013. All information for an index prior to its Launch Date is back-tested, based on the methodology that was in effect on the Launch Date. Back-tested performance, which is hypothetical and not actual performance, is subject to inherent limitations because it reflects application of an Index methodology and selection of index constituents in hindsight. No theoretical approach can take into account all of the factors in the markets in general and the impact of decisions that might have been made during the actual operation of an index. Actual returns may differ from, and be lower than, back-tested returns.

The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are the leading measures of U.S. residential real estate prices, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate. The index is made up of measures of real estate prices in 20 cities and weighted to produce the index.

The 10-year Treasury Note represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the U.S. Government is seen as a risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for the long-term bond market.

Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance.

Past performance does not guarantee future results.

You cannot invest directly in an index.

Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.

Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.

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References   [ + ]

1. https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/24/us-stocks-black-friday-retail-amazon-holidays.html https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/01/us-stock-futures-data-opec-tax-on-the-agenda.html
2. http://performance.morningstar.com/Performance/index-c/performance-return.action?t=%21DJI&region=usa&culture=en-US http://performance.morningstar.com/Performance/index-c/performance-return.action?t=SPX&region=usa&culture=en-US
3. http://performance.morningstar.com/Performance/index-c/performance-return.action?t=@CCO https://www.msci.com/end-of-day-data-search
4. https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/01/us-stock-futures-data-opec-tax-on-the-agenda.html
5. https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/30/us-stocks-dow-record-high-tax-reform-senate.html
6. http://www.cnn.com/2017/12/01/politics/senate-tax-bill-vote-uncertainty/index.html
7. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-30/asian-stocks-set-to-rebound-after-u-s-advance-markets-wrap
8. http://www.ftportfolios.com/Commentary/EconomicResearch/2017/11/29/real-gdp-revised-up-to-a-3.3percent-annual-growth-rate-in-q3
9. http://www.ftportfolios.com/Commentary/EconomicResearch/2017/11/27/new-single-family-home-sales-increased-6.2percent-in-october
10. http://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/consumer-spending-rose-solid-03-percent-october-51483354
11. http://www.goodhousekeeping.com/food-recipes/a41235/mustard-crusted-mini-meatloaves-with-roasted-apples-recipe/
12. https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/five-things-to-remember-about-hobby-income-and-expenses
13. http://www.pga.com/golf-instruction/golf-tip-day/fundamentals/dont-chop-wood-drive-spike
14. https://www.webmd.com/asthma/guide/sinusitis-and-asthma#1-2
15. https://support.nature.org/site/Advocacy?cmd=display&page=UserAction&id=198